For this blog I’ve decided to start with Vietnam, since it
is the only country that I have first-hand experience in. Vietnam has
transformed economically in the last two decades. The Hanoi I know and love
will definitely look completely different ten years from now. Vietnam used to
be one of the poorest countries in world. This was because of the numerous
international embargoes against Vietnam because of their military occupation of
Cambodia. This was one of the many times that the United States and the United
Kingdom were on the wrong side of history. The communist government of Vietnam
did not have much concern for human rights, but compared to the genocide perpetrated
by the Khmer Rouge they were positively saintly.
During the late 1980’s the government of Vietnam instituted
their doi moi (≈restoration)
economic policy.
Statue of Lenin in Ba Dinh, Hanoi |
The Vietnamese
government made it public that they were transitioning Vietnam into a market-oriented
economy and thus were uprooting the centrally economic system. This article is a good introduction to doi moi. There is a lot of
debate to whether or not doi moi was
as significant as it appears to be. It is true that Vietnam’s economy did sky
rocket following the introduction of doi
moi, but there were other factors at play—namely the collapse of the Soviet
Union, Vietnam being reintegrated into the international community, and a
massive increase in foreign direct investment during the 1990s. Vietnam may
have opened their doors to foreign money, but did the government really take a
back seat to market forces? According to the Index Mundi 2012 economic report, state-owned
enterprises have a 40% share of GDP. The way I look at it is that the
Vietnamese government has definitely made promising reforms and had great
results, but there is still a lingering cronyism among party officials and
business leaders. The Vinashin scandal (read about it here and here) was a
product of government mismanagement which hurt the country economically and
caused the banking system to lose credibility internationally. This greatly
increased borrowing costs for Vietnamese banks and the Vietnamese government.
Patriotic Statue in Hanoi |
Microfinance in Vietnam is also largely a state run
industry. If you look at the MixMarket page for Vietnam you will see that VBSP
(Vietnam Bank of Social Policies) has a portfolio at least a factor ten larger
than any of the other MFIs (microfinance institutions). VBSP is, of course,
state-owned and along the network of People’s Credit Funds (also state-run),
makes up the lion’s share of the microfinance market. The Vietnamese government
heavily subsidizes the microfinance industry by setting interest rates far
below the market rate. This makes it very difficult for VBSP to be financially
sustainable without billing the Vietnamese taxpayers. According to the website
of VBSP, their mission is to alleviate poverty. It is a noble goal and the
poverty rate has decreased since VBSP’s began operations in 2002.
Rural village outside Mai Chau, Hoa Binh province. Mai Chau is home to a large number of people of the Tai minority ethnic group. |
The problem
lies in the distribution of this wealth creation. The highest poverty rate is
among the ethnic minorities (according to a report by the World Bank, the
poverty rate in 2006 was 16% for the whole country, but half of those living
under the poverty line were from the ethnic minorities, and they only make up
less than 20% of the population.) Over the last six years we have seen
continuing trends, and although the overall poverty rate has continued to
decline, the poverty rates among the ethnic minorities, or in other words
non-Kinh people, have stayed stubbornly high. If I were to throw my two cents
into this problem, I would point out that most of these state-run banks and MFIs
are biased in their lending and some ethnic groups are left out of the system.
It is very difficult for private MFIs to operate in Vietnam.
This environment means that pretty much all of the private microfinance
industry has to rely on charity, which limits their outreach.
Chop Stick Factory outside of Mai Chau |
CEP (Capital Aid Fund for the Employment of the Poor) is a
successful private MFI based in Ho Chi Minh City. They
have developed an impressive loan portfolio and have bright prospects for the
future. They operate mainly within urban Ho Chi Minh City and loan money to
small start-up businesses.
Bustling street in Ho Chi Minh City |
The NGO I volunteered at was called MACDI, a non-profit MFI
operating in the rural areas surrounding Hanoi. They do good work, but are
heavily limited in their outreach due to their dependency on charitable
funding. This brings me to my final point. The debate about the effectiveness
of microfinance in the alleviation of poverty is still raging and there is no
clear winner. Is Vietnam’s state-run system, with its subsidized interest
rates, preferable to the Philippines and India’s comparatively lax regulatory environment?
We should all be aware of the catastrophe that happened in Andhra Pradesh (this
is a blog post I wrote about it) and what happens when the government has
regulations in the wrong place. The World Bank and their neo-liberal doctrine
have continually pressured the Vietnamese government to relinquish its control
on the microfinance industry. This would attract foreign investment but would
it truly benefit the Vietnamese people? Maybe there is something to be said
about microfinance being subsidized and/or a purely charitable enterprise. Is
it ethical for MFIs to profit off of the most vulnerable members of society?
The distinction between the financial sustainability of an MFI and outright
exploitation is as Justice Potter Stewart famously said referring to hardcore
porn: “I can’t define it but I know it when I see it.” (paraphrased)